Which AI can you trust for constellation & fleet status?
By Anthony Vincent Caracappa, Founder and Self-Directed Space Researcher, Viventine Space Systems · updated
How many satellites a constellation has launched, still has on orbit, or has lost.
On their own, no AI earns "Trust it" here. With Orbit Sentinel tools: Claude Fable 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Grok 4.7.
| AI | Closed-book | With Orbit Sentinel tools | n | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| right / wrong | range | declined | right / wrong | range | declined | ||
| Claude Fable 5.1 Anthropic | 53 / 21 | 39–67 | 26 | 100 / 0 | 92–100 | 0 | 43×2 |
| Claude Opus 5.5 Anthropic | 51 / 12 | 37–65 | 37 | 100 / 0 | 92–100 | 0 | 43×3 |
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 Anthropic | 49 / 12 | 35–63 | 40 | 98 / 2 | 88–100 | 1 | 43×3 |
| Grok 4.7 xAI | 19 / 0 | 10–33 | 81 | 95 / 5 | 85–99 | 0 | 43×2 |
| Claude Haiku 5.5 Anthropic | 23 / 14 | 13–38 | 63 | 82 / 12 | 68–91 | 5 | 43×3 |
| Gemma 4 12B Google | 6 / 58 | 2–20 | 36 | 42 / 41 | 29–57 | 17 | 43×3 |
| gpt-oss 20B OpenAI | 5 / 51 | 1–15 | 44 | 29 / 36 | 18–44 | 34 | 43×3 |
| DeepSeek-R1 14B DeepSeek | 7 / 67 | 2–19 | 26 | — | 43×1 | ||
% right / % wrong per cell; color is the verdict (green trust it, amber verify, red don't use). Range is the 95% interval for % right, counting each question once; n is questions × runs for the tools track.
Sample questions
- How many Starlink satellites are currently on orbit (cataloged and not reentered) as of October 2026?
- How many OneWeb satellites have been cataloged in total (including any that have reentered) as of October 2026?
- How many Amazon Project Kuiper satellites (including the two prototypes, if still up) are on orbit as of October 2026?
- How many Qianfan (Thousand Sails / G60 Starlink) constellation satellites were launched in calendar year 2024?
- How many Qianfan (Thousand Sails) constellation satellites are on orbit as of October 2026?
- How many Guowang (China SatNet national megaconstellation) satellites were launched from the first launch through the end of 2025?