Archived leaderboard

Corpus 278-8bc1c4f8addd, revision 2026-10-17, published 2026-10-17, grader 2026-10-10. This snapshot is immutable — cite this URL.

Rank Model Track k Score/100q Correct Incorrect Abstained No answer Truncated Errors Reasoning Grounded Hallucination Cost
1–4 claude-opus-5.5 closed 1 +29.7 ±10.2 132/276 25 119 0 0 0 98% [88–100] 39% [33–45] 21% [15–29] $4.49
1–4 claude-fable-5.1 closed 1 +28.6 ±10.9 139/276 30 107 0 0 0 100% [92–100] 41% [35–48] 24% [17–32] $13.57
1–4 grok-4.7 closed 1 +27.2 ±6.5 85/276 5 186 0 0 0 91% [78–96] 20% [15–25] 4% [1–14] $2.98
1–4 claude-sonnet-5.5 closed 1 +13.8 ±12.4 128/276 45 103 0 0 0 100% [92–100] 36% [31–43] 35% [27–43] $2.21
5 claude-haiku-5.5 closed 1 +4.7 ±10.2 77/276 32 167 0 0 0 95% [85–99] 15% [11–21] 45% [34–57] $0.13
6–8 gemma4-12b closed 1 -73.4 ±14.6 30/237 102 105 0 39 0 73% [56–86] 4% [2–7] 92% [85–96] $0.00
6–8 gpt-oss-20b closed 1 -90.9 ±14.1 40/275 145 88 2 1 0 68% [52–80] 6% [3–9] 91% [85–95] $0.00
6–8 deepseek-r1-14b closed 1 -93.1 ±13.8 34/275 145 96 0 1 0 52% [38–67] 5% [3–9] 91% [85–95] $0.00
1–2 claude-opus-5.5 mcp 3 +83.5 +82…+85 717/828 13 37 61 0 0 98% [93–99] 93% [90–94] 2% [1–3] $109.31
1–2 claude-fable-5.1 mcp 2 +82.1 +82…+82 489/552 18 31 14 0 0 98% [92–99] 90% [86–92] 4% [2–6] $305.61
3–4 claude-sonnet-5.5 mcp 3 +72.8 +71…+74 699/828 48 47 34 0 0 94% [88–97] 87% [84–89] 6% [5–9] $43.64
3–4 grok-4.7 mcp 2 +71.4 +71…+72 436/552 21 95 0 0 0 93% [86–97] 76% [72–80] 5% [3–7] $54.31
5 claude-haiku-5.5 mcp 3 +62.7 +61…+65 629/828 55 99 45 0 0 92% [86–96] 78% [75–81] 9% [7–11] $4.19
6 gpt-oss-20b mcp 3 +4.5 +3…+6 383/828 173 44 228 0 0 74% [65–81] 62% [57–66] 32% [28–37] $0.00
7 gemma4-12b mcp 3 -3.5 -7…+2 400/802 214 186 2 26 0 70% [62–78] 46% [43–50] 38% [34–42] $0.00

Score/100q = (correct − 2×incorrect) per 100 gradeable questions; abstention is free. The −2 penalty encodes a 67% confidence threshold. Gradeable = total minus transport errors and truncated completions, and the Correct column is shown over that same denominator. The small figure beside each score is its uncertainty: for k>1 the lowest and highest score/100q observed across those repeat runs, and for k=1 a ±95% interval — repeats re-ask the same questions, so treating them as independent trials would understate the spread. Shared ranks (e.g. 1–10) group models whose interval overlaps the group leader's. Hallucination = incorrect ÷ (correct + incorrect) on grounded questions. Cells with n<10 show raw fractions; percentages carry Wilson 95% intervals.

What tools actually buy: trust vs. accuracy, closed-book → MCP-grounded
Trust — Score/100q Grounded accuracy — % 0 25 50 75 0 25 50 75 100 gpt-oss-20b +95 +56pp gemma4-12b +70 +43pp claude-sonnet-5.5 +59 +50pp claude-haiku-5.5 +58 +63pp claude-opus-5.5 +54 +54pp claude-fable-5.1 +53 +48pp grok-4.7 +44 +57pp

closed-book MCP-grounded amber Δ = accuracy and trust moved in opposite directions