Archived leaderboard

Corpus 83-81e122a887e2, revision 2026-07-24, published 2026-07-25, grader 2026-07-20. This snapshot is immutable — cite this URL.

Revisions of this corpus: 2026-07-24 (68 runs) · 2026-07-22 (20 runs)

Rank Model Track k Score/100q Correct Incorrect Abstained No answer Truncated Errors Reasoning Grounded Hallucination Cost
1–5 claude-opus-4.8 closed 3 +72.7 +70…+75 183/249 1 65 0 0 0 99% [97–100] 23% [15–33] 0% [0–17] $0.71
1–5 gemini-3.5-flash closed 3 +72.3 +71…+73 180/249 0 69 0 0 0 100% [98–100] 18% [11–27] 0% [0–20] $1.55
1–5 claude-fable-5 closed 3 +71.9 +70…+73 187/249 4 58 0 0 0 100% [98–100] 26% [18–36] 15% [6–34] $3.29
1–5 gemini-3.1-pro closed 3 +69.5 +69…+70 173/249 0 76 0 0 0 100% [98–100] 10% [5–18] 0/8 $2.24
1–5 claude-sonnet-5 closed 3 +66.3 +63…+71 177/249 6 66 0 0 0 98% [95–99] 18% [11–27] 17% [6–39] $0.33
6–8 grok-4.5 closed 3 +66.3 +65…+67 167/249 1 75 6 0 0 99% [97–100] 11% [6–19] 0/9 $0.22
6–8 kimi-k2.6 closed 3 +64.3 +63…+65 160/249 0 75 14 0 0 100% [98–100] 6% [3–14] 0/5 $1.58
6–8 qwen3-max closed 3 +64.3 +57…+70 176/249 8 65 0 0 0 99% [97–100] 14% [8–23] 37% [19–59] $0.23
9–11 deepseek-v4-pro closed 3 +57.4 +51…+63 171/249 14 60 4 0 0 97% [93–99] 15% [9–24] 43% [24–63] $0.16
9–11 llama-4-maverick closed 3 +52.2 +51…+53 162/249 16 71 0 0 0 94% [89–97] 8% [4–16] 46% [23–71] $0.04
9–11 claude-haiku-4.5 closed 3 +45.4 +40…+51 157/249 22 70 0 0 0 91% [86–94] 8% [4–16] 50% [27–73] $0.32
12–13 gpt-5.4 closed 3 +41.0 +39…+43 190/249 44 15 0 0 0 99% [96–100] 32% [23–43] 61% [49–72] $0.25
12–13 gpt-5.4-mini closed 3 +41.0 +34…+47 174/249 36 39 0 0 0 96% [92–98] 19% [12–29] 65% [51–77] $0.06
1–3 gemini-3.5-flash mcp 3 +73.5 +70…+78 197/249 7 41 4 0 0 100% [98–100] 40% [30–51] 18% [9–33] $11.61
1–3 gemini-3.1-pro mcp 1 +71.1 ±14.0 65/83 3 15 0 0 0 100% [93–100] 36% [21–54] 23% [8–50] $6.25
1–3 claude-opus-4.8 mcp 1 +67.5 ±16.4 66/83 5 12 0 0 0 100% [93–100] 39% [24–58] 31% [14–56] $2.38
4–7 claude-fable-5 mcp 3 +62.7 +57…+66 208/249 26 15 0 0 0 98% [95–99] 55% [44–65] 33% [23–45] $41.92
4–7 grok-4.5 mcp 3 +59.8 +52…+71 171/249 11 66 1 0 0 82% [75–87] 44% [34–55] 20% [11–33] $15.99
4–7 claude-sonnet-5 mcp 3 +59.0 +57…+61 193/249 23 33 0 0 0 99% [96–100] 36% [26–46] 41% [29–55] $7.91
4–7 deepseek-v4-pro mcp 1 +55.4 ±16.8 56/83 5 20 2 0 0 89% [78–95] 30% [16–48] 38% [18–64] $1.50
8–9 gpt-5.4 mcp 3 +51.8 +45…+55 161/249 16 72 0 0 0 85% [79–90] 24% [16–34] 38% [23–55] $4.47
8–9 kimi-k2.6 mcp 1 +42.2 ±13.4 39/83 2 36 6 0 0 64% [50–75] 18% [7–39] 2/6 $2.83
10 qwen3-max mcp 3 +42.2 +41…+43 165/249 30 52 2 0 0 88% [83–92] 25% [17–35] 58% [44–71] $4.44
11 claude-haiku-4.5 mcp 3 +36.1 +34…+39 128/249 19 102 0 0 0 64% [56–71] 27% [19–38] 39% [26–55] $3.87
12–13 gpt-5.4-mini mcp 3 +27.3 +27…+29 122/249 27 97 3 0 0 67% [60–74] 15% [9–25] 57% [39–73] $1.03
12–13 llama-4-maverick mcp 1 +10.8 ±25.4 45/83 18 12 8 0 0 86% [73–93] 12% [4–29] 82% [59–94] $0.12

Score/100q = (correct − 2×incorrect) per 100 gradeable questions; abstention is free. The −2 penalty encodes a 67% confidence threshold. Gradeable = total minus transport errors and truncated completions, and the Correct column is shown over that same denominator. The small figure beside each score is its uncertainty: for k>1 the lowest and highest score/100q observed across those repeat runs, and for k=1 a ±95% interval — repeats re-ask the same questions, so treating them as independent trials would understate the spread. Shared ranks (e.g. 1–10) group models whose interval overlaps the group leader's. Hallucination = incorrect ÷ (correct + incorrect) on grounded questions. Cells with n<10 show raw fractions; percentages carry Wilson 95% intervals.

What tools actually buy: trust vs. accuracy, closed-book → MCP-grounded
Trust — Score/100q Grounded accuracy — % 0 25 50 0 25 50 75 100 gpt-5.4 +11 -8pp gemini-3.1-pro +2 +26pp gemini-3.5-flash +1 +22pp deepseek-v4-pro -2 +15pp claude-opus-4.8 -5 +17pp grok-4.5 -6 +33pp claude-sonnet-5 -7 +18pp claude-haiku-4.5 -9 +19pp claude-fable-5 -9 +29pp gpt-5.4-mini -14 -4pp kimi-k2.6 -22 +12pp qwen3-max -22 +11pp llama-4-maverick -41 +3pp

closed-book MCP-grounded amber Δ = accuracy and trust moved in opposite directions